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Real-Time Indicator Flashes Warning on Economic Track

Source: seekingalpha.com

A new real-time indicator shows the U.S. economy sliding toward a slowdown, hitting a "warning track" level not seen since major recessions.
Key data reveals industrial activity down 20% from peaks, consumer spending weakening, and unemployment ticking up to 4.3%.
This signals higher recession odds, urging investors to watch for Federal Reserve rate cuts in early 2025.

The article introduces a custom real-time economic indicator that tracks U.S. growth in plain terms, combining data like industrial production, retail sales, and jobless claims. It shows the economy now on the "warning track" - a yellow zone signaling serious slowdown risks ahead of a recession. Author Brad Thomas argues this tool beats traditional lagging indicators, helping investors spot trouble early. Readers care because it flags potential market drops and policy shifts that could hit stock