Historic post-split records show title drops likely

Source: scottishfootball.info

TL;DR

The story at a glance

The piece reviews historic post-split performance across 24 seasons of Scottish Premiership football, highlighting win percentages for 19 teams. It covers teams like Celtic, Aberdeen, Inverness, and Hearts, with tables ranking records by win rate. This comes ahead of the current season's split, amid a tight three-way title race, to show patterns in end-of-season form.

Key points

Details and context

Post-split fixtures mean five extra games after 33 matches, split into top and bottom six groups. This format, introduced in 2000/01, aims to balance competition but historic data shows consistent performers like Celtic and Aberdeen rarely falter late.

Inverness stand out with strong relative form (21 losses in 60 games over 12 seasons), while Hearts' poor record raises concerns for fans. Motherwell edges Hibs historically in bottom-six scraps.

The analysis ties into the current tight race, noting maximum points available but predicting drops given rarity of perfection.

Why it matters

Historic patterns reveal why late-season predictability is low in Scottish football, affecting title odds and survival fights. Fans and bettors can use win rates to gauge realistic expectations for their teams in the final five games. Watch post-split results closely, as even leaders often stumble based on 24 seasons of data.