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Trump Allies Fear Iran Victory Lap Is Premature

Source: wsj.com

TL;DR

Trump allies and U.S. officials worry his "total victory" claim overstates a fragile cease-fire with Iran.[[1]](https://www.wsj.com/politics/national-security/trump-allies-u-s-officials-fear-iran-victory-lap-is-premature-96f8e810?mod=mhp)[[2]](https://www.wsj.com/politics/national-security/trump-allies-u-s-officials-fear-iran-victory-lap-is-premature-96f8e810)
Iran refuses to fully open the Strait of Hormuz and keeps underground missiles plus small boats to threaten ships.[[3]](https://www.livemint.com/politics/trump-allies-us-officials-fear-iran-victory-lap-is-premature-11775699642328.html)
The cease-fire could fail soon, risking attacks on U.S. forces and renewed conflict despite U.S. strikes on over half of Iran's missile launchers.[[3]](https://www.livemint.com/politics/trump-allies-us-officials-fear-iran-victory-lap-is-premature-11775699642328.html)

The story at a glance

President Trump's declaration of "total victory" in the war with Iran has drawn private concerns from some of his close allies and senior U.S. aides, who see it as overstating a shaky cease-fire. They point to Iran's ongoing grip on the Strait of Hormuz and its remaining military threats to ships and U.S. troops in the region. The article comes out Wednesday after the cease-fire took hold, amid early signs of trouble like Gulf partners intercepting Iranian projectiles.[[2]](https://www.wsj.com/politics/national-security/trump-allies-u-s-officials-fear-iran-victory-lap-is-premature-96f8e810)[[3]](https://www.livemint.com/politics/trump-allies-us-officials-fear-iran-victory-lap-is-premature-11775699642328.html)

Key points

Trump has been warned about risks that could collapse the cease-fire, including Iran's retained underground missile launchers and Revolutionary Guard small boats.[[3]](https://www.livemint.com/politics/trump-allies-us-officials-fear-iran-victory-lap-is-premature-11775699642328.html)
More than half of Iran's missile launchers were destroyed by U.S. strikes, but a substantial number survive buried deep underground, per a U.S. official.[[3]](https://www.livemint.com/politics/trump-allies-us-officials-fear-iran-victory-lap-is-premature-11775699642328.html)
Over 90% of Iran's regular Navy has been sunk, yet Iran can still block the Strait of Hormuz and target U.S. forces.[[1]](https://www.wsj.com/politics/national-security/trump-allies-u-s-officials-fear-iran-victory-lap-is-premature-96f8e810?mod=mhp)
Hours into the cease-fire, Gulf partners reported intercepting Iranian projectiles.[[3]](https://www.livemint.com/politics/trump-allies-us-officials-fear-iran-victory-lap-is-premature-11775699642328.html)
White House press secretary Karoline Leavitt called the five-week operation a "military triumph," despite the concerns.[[2]](https://www.wsj.com/politics/national-security/trump-allies-u-s-officials-fear-iran-victory-lap-is-premature-96f8e810)

Details and context

The cease-fire follows a U.S.-Israeli military campaign against Iran, with Trump pushing for a quick end after four to six weeks of strikes aimed at Iran's navy and missiles. Iran has tightened control over the Strait of Hormuz, a key oil chokepoint, even after the truce, leaving ships stranded and global energy markets on edge.[[4]](https://www.wsj.com/world/middle-east/iran-tightens-its-grip-on-hormuz-despite-cease-fire-5027521f)

Officials note the administration insists on the upper hand ahead of talks, but privately advise caution since Iran could resume attacks. This reflects tensions after Trump backed off earlier threats to hit power plants and bridges if the strait stayed closed.[[5]](https://www.wsj.com/world/middle-east/trump-backs-off-threat-to-level-iran-04229daf)

Key quotes

“My number one concern right now is to see over the next four to six weeks whether we lied to ourselves because we lost our nerve, or whether we got a real agreement with real teeth that involves real change.” — Newt Gingrich, former House speaker close to Trump.[[3]](https://www.livemint.com/politics/trump-allies-us-officials-fear-iran-victory-lap-is-premature-11775699642328.html)

Why it matters

A fragile cease-fire keeps the risk of wider Middle East conflict alive, with Iran able to disrupt global oil flows through the Strait of Hormuz. For businesses and investors, this means volatile energy prices and supply chains; ordinary readers face potential spikes in fuel costs. Watch Iran's compliance over the next four to six weeks, as officials test if the deal holds or unravels into more strikes.[[3]](https://www.livemint.com/politics/trump-allies-us-officials-fear-iran-victory-lap-is-premature-11775699642328.html)