Avis Short Squeeze Highlights Next Targets
Source: zerohedge.com
TL;DR
- Avis Squeeze: Avis Budget Group (CAR) stock surges in historic short squeeze amid high short interest and low float.
- 86% Short Float: Ortex data shows 86.2% of free float shorted as of Monday, near March peak of 89.3%.[[1]](https://www.investing.com/news/stock-market-news/avis-budget-shares-touch-record-high-as-short-squeeze-hammers-bearish-bets-4626661)[[2]](https://www.reuters.com/business/autos-transportation/avis-budget-shares-touch-record-high-short-squeeze-hammers-bearish-bets-2026-04-21)
- Squeeze Candidates: Article lists most shorted stocks now as potential next targets for similar squeezes.
The story at a glance
Zero Hedge reports on Avis Budget Group's (CAR) explosive stock rally driven by a short squeeze, despite years of declining revenue and negative free cash flow. Hedge funds SRS Investment Management and Pentwater Capital Management hold over 71% of shares outright and more than 100% economically including swaps, shrinking the float and pressuring shorts. This is reported now as CAR hit record highs Tuesday after quadrupling in April, with shorts losing over $4 billion this month.[[3]](https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/avis-soars-historic-squeeze-whos-next-here-are-most-shorted-stocks-right-now)[[1]](https://www.investing.com/news/stock-market-news/avis-budget-shares-touch-record-high-as-short-squeeze-hammers-bearish-bets-4626661)
Key points
- CAR stock up over 500% in 30 days, hitting record high around $714 Tuesday after 17% gain, with trading halts.
- Short interest at 86.2% of free float per Ortex (Monday), 54-62% per Nasdaq/S3; 9 million shares short as of March 31 vs. ~10-15 million tradeable float.[[4]](https://finance.yahoo.com/markets/stocks/articles/avis-budget-stock-surges-short-121223658.html)[[5]](https://www.marketbeat.com/short-interest)
- SRS (17.4M shares) and Pentwater (7.8M shares + options) control 71% outstanding shares (35M total); swaps push to 108% economic interest.[[6]](https://www.msn.com/en-us/money/topstocks/avis-short-squeeze-why-a-stock-offering-and-regulatory-scrutiny-could-be-next/ar-AA21pntY?ocid=finance-verthp-feeds)
- Shorts lost $4.09B in April, $1.01B Monday alone; Barclays calls it technical supply/demand mismatch.[[7]](https://www.marketscreener.com/news/avis-budget-shares-touch-record-high-as-short-squeeze-hammers-bearish-bets-ce7f59dbda8bf32d)
- Compared to GameStop 2021 and Volkswagen 2008 squeezes due to low float and high shorts.
- Article highlights most shorted stocks right now as "who's next" candidates, though specific names not visible in paywall teaser.
Details and context
Avis has struggled fundamentally as a "revenue-declining, cash-incinerating machine" with no positive free cash flow quarters in years, making it a prime short target earlier.[[3]](https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/avis-soars-historic-squeeze-whos-next-here-are-most-shorted-stocks-right-now) Pentwater's recent stake increase and options exercise further reduced float, triggering covering as price rose from ~$100 in late March.
Concentrated ownership locks up shares: brokers hedge swaps by holding stock, leaving little for shorts to borrow. Days-to-cover ~7 at normal volume, but squeeze amplifies buying pressure.
Recent data shows CAR atop large-cap most-shorted lists at 25-88% short interest depending on metric, ahead of IonQ, EchoStar, but squeeze risk tied to low availability (0.35%).[[8]](https://app.ortex.com/short-interest)[[9]](https://seekingalpha.com/news/4576292-most-shorted-large-cap-stocks-as-of-mid-april)
Key quotes
"We believe the parabolic increase of CAR's share price the past month has been driven almost exclusively by technical factors that have created a wide supply/demand mismatch on the shares with short-sellers facing a sharp squeeze." – Barclays analysts.[[7]](https://www.marketscreener.com/news/avis-budget-shares-touch-record-high-as-short-squeeze-hammers-bearish-bets-ce7f59dbda8bf32d)
Why it matters
Short squeezes like this expose risks of crowded bearish bets on low-float names, inflicting massive losses even on weak fundamentals. Investors face extreme volatility; shorts may keep covering, but longs risk reversal if owners sell or company dilutes via offering. Watch short interest updates from Ortex/S3, CAR filings on ownership changes, and volume for signs of peak squeeze.
What changed
Before late March, CAR traded ~$100-143 with ~50% short interest on poor fundamentals and ample float perception. Now, post-Pentwater stake build and squeeze, shares hit $714 record high with shorts covering amid 86% free float shorted and effective 100%+ ownership lockup. Shift accelerated early April after proxy filings revealed concentrated stakes.
FAQ
Q: Why did Avis Budget stock squeeze despite weak fundamentals?
A: High short interest (86% free float) met tiny float from SRS/Pentwater owning 71% shares + swaps (108% economic), forcing covers as price rose; no positive FCF in years made it shortable before.[[1]](https://www.investing.com/news/stock-market-news/avis-budget-shares-touch-record-high-as-short-squeeze-hammers-bearish-bets-4626661)
Q: How much have shorts lost in the Avis squeeze?
A: $4.09 billion total in April, with $1.01 billion on Monday alone as shares jumped 23%.[[7]](https://www.marketscreener.com/news/avis-budget-shares-touch-record-high-as-short-squeeze-hammers-bearish-bets-ce7f59dbda8bf32d)
Q: What makes Avis vulnerable to short squeeze?
A: 9M shares short vs. 10-15M tradeable float, days-to-cover 7, brokers hedging swaps hold stock, leaving 0.35% availability per Ortex.[[8]](https://app.ortex.com/short-interest)
Q: Who owns most of Avis Budget shares?
A: SRS Investment Management (17.4M shares) and Pentwater Capital (7.8M + options), over 71% outstanding; swaps add more exposure.[[1]](https://www.investing.com/news/stock-market-news/avis-budget-shares-touch-record-high-as-short-squeeze-hammers-bearish-bets-4626661)
[[3]](https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/avis-soars-historic-squeeze-whos-next-here-are-most-shorted-stocks-right-now)