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OU 2026 game predictions amid tough schedule

Source: oklahoman.com

TL;DR

Joe Mussatto predicts each game on the Oklahoma Sooners' tough 2026 football schedule.[[1]](https://www.oklahoman.com/story/sports/college/sooners/2026/04/08/ou-football-predictions-2026-schedule-game-picks-oklahoma-sooners/89505133007)
The Sooners face early road games at Michigan and Georgia, plus home dates with Ole Miss and Texas A&M late.[[2]](https://soonersports.com/sports/football/schedule)[[3]](https://secsports.com/fbsched26-oklahoma)
These way-too-early picks show how OU might finish bowl-eligible amid SEC grind despite returning core players.[[1]](https://www.oklahoman.com/story/sports/college/sooners/2026/04/08/ou-football-predictions-2026-schedule-game-picks-oklahoma-sooners/89505133007)

The story at a glance

Joe Mussatto of The Oklahoman offers way-too-early predictions for every Oklahoma Sooners football game in 2026. The article covers the full schedule, released last December, with analysis on key matchups like road trips to Michigan and Georgia early and a late stretch against Ole Miss, Texas A&M and Missouri. It's reported now after the Sooners' 2025 playoff run ended in a first-round loss to Alabama, with much of the roster returning under coach Brent Venables.[[1]](https://www.oklahoman.com/story/sports/college/sooners/2026/04/08/ou-football-predictions-2026-schedule-game-picks-oklahoma-sooners/89505133007)[[4]](https://247sports.com/college/oklahoma/longformarticle/way-too-early-top-25-projections-for-oklahoma-in-2026-271684512)

The Sooners joined the SEC in 2024 and went 10-2 last year before the playoff exit.[[4]](https://247sports.com/college/oklahoma/longformarticle/way-too-early-top-25-projections-for-oklahoma-in-2026-271684512)

Key points

Schedule starts Sept. 5 vs. UTEP at home, followed by Sept. 12 at Michigan, Sept. 19 vs. New Mexico and Sept. 26 at Georgia.[[2]](https://soonersports.com/sports/football/schedule)
Oct. 10 neutral-site game vs. Texas in Dallas (Red River Rivalry), then home vs. Kentucky (Oct. 17), at Mississippi State (Oct. 24) and home vs. South Carolina (Oct. 31).[[3]](https://secsports.com/fbsched26-oklahoma)
November brings road game at Florida (Nov. 7), home vs. Ole Miss (Nov. 14), home vs. Texas A&M (Nov. 21) and at Missouri (Nov. 28); bye Oct. 3.[[5]](https://sports.yahoo.com/articles/ou-football-2026-schedule-complete-013701573.html)
Article highlights brutal early tests at Michigan and Georgia, both top programs, plus tough late home games that could decide bowl eligibility.[[6]](https://www.si.com/college/oklahoma/football/oklahoma-s-2026-schedule-tiering-every-game-from-light-work-to-nightmare-fuel-01kk0fca61f9)
Mussatto notes Sooners' returning offense led by QB John Mateer, but defense must replace losses; Vegas sets win total at 7.5.[[7]](https://sports.yahoo.com/articles/oklahoma-sooners-projected-win-7-200000494.html)

Details and context

The 2026 slate mixes non-conference games against lighter foes like UTEP (2-10 in 2025) and New Mexico with a marquee trip to Michigan, payback for OU's 2025 home win over the Wolverines.[[8]](https://stormininnorman.com/immediately-predicting-oklahoma-sooners-2026-schedule-after-its-release-sec-football-season-predictions) SEC play features no repeat road woes from 2025 but new challenges like Athens and Gainesville, where OU has limited history.

Mussatto's picks factor in roster continuity after offseason retention push post-playoff—key receivers and linemen return—but losses at linebacker raise questions on run defense amid SEC physicality.[[9]](https://sports.yahoo.com/articles/ou-football-emphasized-retention-2026-110207377.html) The schedule ranks among nation's toughest, with five opponents from 2025 CFP top 18 per some analysts.[[10]](https://www.facebook.com/PFSNCollege/posts/the-sec-just-handed-oklahoma-its-2026-blueprint-and-it-reads-like-a-stress-test-/837344479356656)

FanDuel's 7.5 win total reflects caution despite 2025's 10 wins; other previews see 9-3 as likely if OU splits big games.[[11]](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zHEQhQmDjFU)

Key quotes

Omitted; no direct quotes visible from article previews.

Why it matters

A strong 2026 keeps momentum from OU's SEC transition and playoff breakthrough, building toward contention in expanded 12-team CFP. Fans and boosters get realistic outlook on navigating brutal slate with returning talent like Mateer, while Venables eyes signature road win to silence doubters. Watch transfer portal adds at linebacker and early September results, though injuries or upsets could swing the record either way.